Roads to the Playoff
Two complementary views of the playoff path. Easiest Roads sorts top-50 rosters by expected wins, so a team likely to grind out 10+ on a soft slate ranks above a contender whose tougher schedule trims it to 8. Hardest Roads filters to top-15 rosters and sorts by raw schedule difficulty. Ole Miss is the canonical case (roster #3, SOS rank #3, five top-13 opponents on the slate); the elite talent still keeps them in the playoff conversation, but no contender draws a rougher gauntlet. Records shown are the most likely actual finish; SOS rank: 1 = toughest, 136 = easiest.
Hardest Roads
Top-15 rosters facing the toughest schedules. Elite talent meets the gauntlet.
| # | Team | Predicted | Roster |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TexasSEC | 9-3 | #7 |
| 2 | Ole MissSEC | 8-4 | #2 |
| 3 | GeorgiaSEC | 8-4 | #11 |
| 4 | OklahomaSEC | 7-5 | #10 |
| 5 | Ohio StateBig Ten | 8-4 | #6 |
| 6 | AuburnSEC | 8-4 | #15 |
| 7 | Oklahoma StateBig 12 | 8-4 | #20 |
| 8 | LSUSEC | 9-3 | #5 |
| 9 | OregonBig Ten | 10-2 | #1 |
| 10 | ArizonaBig 12 | 8-4 | #9 |
| 11 | BYUBig 12 | 8-4 | #17 |
| 12 | South CarolinaSEC | 9-3 | #4 |
Easiest Roads
Top-50 rosters predicted to win the most games. The path to the CFP is wide open.
| # | Team | Predicted | Roster |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Texas TechBig 12 | 10-2 | #8 |
| 2 | MiamiACC | 9-3 | #3 |
| 3 | IndianaBig Ten | 9-3 | #16 |
| 4 | Penn StateBig Ten | 9-3 | #12 |
| 5 | UNLVMountain West | 9-3 | #38 |
| 6 | PittsburghACC | 9-3 | #19 |
| 7 | SMUACC | 8-4 | #18 |
| 8 | Notre DameIndependents | 8-4 | #27 |
| 9 | Kansas StateBig 12 | 8-4 | #13 |
| 10 | UtahBig 12 | 8-4 | #14 |
| 11 | VirginiaACC | 8-4 | #36 |
| 12 | UCLABig Ten | 8-4 | #26 |
| 13 | Western MichiganMAC | 8-4 | #39 |
| 14 | MinnesotaBig Ten | 8-4 | #28 |
| 15 | IllinoisBig Ten | 8-4 | #22 |